Coinbase's policy research arm published a new paper, "Machine-to-machine payments in the AiFi era," introduced October 7 by Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad. Its premise: the internet's business model was built for humans, and agents that fetch content without generating a human visit break that model at its core.
Highlights#
- The paper frames AI agents as a "second customer" for the internet. They skip ads, don't browse, don't create accounts; they retrieve, compare, and execute on a person's behalf. That leaves publishers, developers, and data providers with a revenue gap they have no mechanism to fill.
- Legacy rails fail on unit economics, not features. The paper notes fixed processing fees make conventional rails impractical for tiny transactions: a $0.30 fee on a $0.001 API request is a 30,000% transaction cost. Keeping fees under 5% of value would require transactions of several dollars to over $10.
- The proposed model is pay-per-use: an agent pays per API request, document, or data query with no account and no billing relationship, which is where high-frequency stablecoin transfers come in as a new automated settlement layer.
- Coinbase's documented x402 implementation shows the mechanics: server returns HTTP 402 with price, asset, and network; agent signs and resubmits. A test transfer of 0.01 USDC on Base using EIP-3009 settled in two seconds with on-chain fees under $0.001.
- The paper also calls for portable cryptographic credentials and customizable spending caps to manage agent operational identity without traditional bank accounts, and notes servers stay free to accept any payment scheme or settlement provider.
- Adoption, it argues, will hinge on trials by developers and cloud platforms such as Cloudflare and AWS over the coming quarters.
Why it matters#
Per-use agent settlement at fraction-of-a-cent prices only works when the payment itself carries proof of who paid, for what, and within what limits. Escrowed, reputation-linked settlement is how those micro-transactions stay auditable and disputable at machine speed.